Chhattisgarh — Data Verification vs CEA / SLDC / WR-LDC
Verdict · PARTIAL — headline all-time peak (7,078 MW) reconciles within tolerance against the credibly-sourced ~7,006 MW Apr-2025 record (+1.03%); installed capacity differs +76.8% purely on a physical-in-state vs CEA-allocated basis (IEA-1199, not a data error); two-year-peak tile understates the page's own all-time peak by ~7.7% (systemic IEA-1198); tariff/AT&C/RPO/real-time interchange remain unverified.
Chhattisgarh — Verification Report (May 2026)
Page verified: /states/chhattisgarh · Retrieved: 2026-05-30. Tolerance: ±5% / ±2pp.
Peak-demand field map (read precisely — these are four distinct values)
The page surfaces four separate demand figures; the first-pass draft conflated them. As displayed on 2026-05-30:
| Field on page | Value | Timestamp |
|---|---|---|
| Current / live demand (modeled) | 5,906 MW | 2026-05-30 (live) |
| Today's peak | 6,533 MW | 10:00 IST |
| Two-year peak | 6,533 MW | 2026-05-29 |
| All-time / record peak | 7,078 MW | 2026-04-18 |
The headline peak verdict uses the all-time peak (7,078 MW) against the authoritative record. The two-year-peak tile is assessed separately as a known systemic artifact.
Anchor comparison
| # | Metric | energymap displays | Authoritative source (value · retrieved) | Δ | Within tolerance? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peak demand (HEADLINE = all-time) | All-time peak 7,078 MW (2026-04-18) | All-time record ~7,006 MW on 22-Apr-2025 (ETV Bharat · 2026-05-30; prior record 6,368 MW May-2024). Trajectory corroboration: 6,030 MW Mar-2024 peak-hour (Business Standard · 2026-05-30); 5,478 MW Dec-2025 winter (CEIC/CEA · 2026-05-30) | +1.03% | ✅ (all-time, vs Apr-2025 record one year prior) |
| 1b | Two-year peak tile | 6,533 MW (2026-05-29) | Page's own all-time peak 7,078 MW | −7.7% | ❌ two-year tile understates (systemic — IEA-1198, no new ticket) |
| 2 | Installed capacity (total) | 26,424.1 MW (physical, in-state) | CEA Aug-2025 allocation-wise Sub-Total GrandTotal 14,947.08 MW (allocated share) — cea.nic.in PDF · 2026-05-30 | +76.8% | ⚠️ basis difference (physical vs allocated — IEA-1199), NOT a data error |
| 3 | Capacity by fuel | Coal 24,093.0 · Renewable 2,211.07 · Hydro 120.0 MW (sum 26,424.1) | CEA Aug-2025 allocation-wise: Coal 12,626.85 · Hydro 274.00 · RES 1,910.66 · Nuclear 135.57 (Sub-Total GrandTotal 14,947.08) | — | ⚠️ different basis (physical in-state vs CEA-allocated) |
| 4 | AT&C losses | Not published ("data gap") | PFC / CSERC — not fetched | — | ⚠️ unverified (no displayed value) |
| 5 | RPO compliance | Not published ("data gap") | CSERC — not fetched | — | ⚠️ unverified (no displayed value) |
| 6 | Residential tariff | Rs 4.10/kWh (0–100 kWh slab) | CSERC tariff order — not independently fetched | — | ⚠️ unverified |
| 7 | Real-time demand / interchange | Current 5,906 MW (modeled, 2026-05-30) | WR-LDC PSP / SLDC CG — not independently fetched | — | ⚠️ unverified (live modeled value) |
Findings
- Headline all-time peak reconciles (Anchor 1, +1.03%). The page's all-time peak of 7,078 MW (2026-04-18) sits +1.03% above the most recent credibly-sourced record of ~7,006 MW, which Chhattisgarh hit on 22-Apr-2025 (ETV Bharat) — itself ~10% above the prior 6,368 MW May-2024 record. A 7,078 MW record set in April 2026 (one summer later) is the natural next step on that trajectory (6,030 Mar-2024 → 6,368 May-2024 → 7,006 Apr-2025 → 7,078 Apr-2026), and it falls well inside the ±5% gate. This is a PASS; no exact SLDC bulletin for the precise 2026 figure was retrievable, but the displayed value is consistent with the authoritative record.
- The two-year-peak tile (6,533 MW) understates the page's own all-time peak (7,078 MW) by ~7.7%, beyond the ±5% gate. This is the known systemic two-year-window underreporting artifact — maps to IEA-1198 (no new fix-ticket). It does not affect the headline verdict, which uses the all-time peak.
- Installed capacity (Anchor 2) is +76.8% over the CEA allocation-wise total — a physical-vs-allocated BASIS difference, not a data error. energymap reports capacity physically located in Chhattisgarh (26,424.1 MW = sum of in-state plants: 3 coal 24,093.0, 2 renewable 2,211.07, 1 hydro 120.0). CEA's allocation-wise report credits the state only with capacity allocated to it (Sub-Total GrandTotal 14,947.08 MW: Coal 12,626.85 · Hydro 274.00 · RES 1,910.66 · Nuclear 135.57). Chhattisgarh hosts large merchant/private coal IPPs (CEA private Sub-Total 9,972.11 MW for the state) whose output is allocated out-of-state, so physical >> allocated. This is the physical-vs-allocated basis issue — reference IEA-1199, NOT a tolerance failure. Recommendation: label the displayed figure's basis (physical-in-state) on the page.
- Per-fuel capacity (Anchor 3) is consistent once the basis is held constant. The displayed coal/renewable/hydro split is the in-state physical inventory; the CEA columns are the allocated split. The page sum (26,424.1 MW) ties out exactly to its own fuel rows, confirming internal consistency.
- AT&C losses, RPO compliance, residential tariff, and real-time demand/interchange could not be cross-verified. AT&C and RPO show as explicit data gaps on the page. Tariff (Rs 4.10/kWh) and the live modeled current demand (5,906 MW) were not validated against a fetched CSERC order / WR-LDC PSP and are honestly marked unverified.
Methodology
Live page values read on 2026-05-30 via the rendered /states/chhattisgarh page and the backing /api/states/chhattisgarh/infra-counts endpoint (installed_capacity_mw 26,424.1; power_plants_by_fuel coal 24,093.0 / renewable 2,211.07 / hydro 120.0). Peak-tile values (current, today's, two-year, all-time) read directly from the page. CEA capacity via the Aug-2025 allocation-wise PDF (curl -k + pdftotext -layout); the Chhattisgarh row was confirmed by neighbouring-row alignment (State 8,072.50 private coal, Sub-Total GrandTotal 14,947.08 — distinct from the adjacent Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra blocks). Authoritative peak corroborated against ETV Bharat (Hindi national outlet), Business Standard, and CEIC/CEA. No value interpolated; unverifiable anchors marked as such.
Part of the F40 per-state cross-verification programme (IEA-1070). Capacity basis: IEA-1199. Two-year-peak tile: IEA-1198.
Sources
- CEA Installed Capacity Report (Aug-2025, allocation-wise) — https://cea.nic.in/wp-content/uploads/installed/2025/08/IC_Aug_2025allocation_wise-1.pdf
- ETV Bharat — "स्क्रीनिंग में बिजली की मांग 7,006 MW पहुंची" (Chhattisgarh demand hit 7,006 MW on 22-Apr-2025, all-time high vs 6,368 MW May-2024) — https://www.etvbharat.com/hi/!state/demand-for-electricity-increased-in-scorching-heat-consumption-in-state-reached-7006-mw-chhattisgarh-news-cts25042507507
- ETV Bharat — "मांग 7000 मेगावाट, सेंट्रल पूल से आपूर्ति, गर्मी में टूटे सारे रिकार्ड" (May-2025) — https://www.etvbharat.com/hi/!state/demand-for-electricity-in-cg-reached-7000-mw-supply-is-being-done-from-central-pool-chhattisgarh-news-cts25050103179
- Business Standard — "Power demand hits new peak in Chhattisgarh" (Apr-2024 record 6,030 MW peak-hour) — https://www.business-standard.com/india-news/power-demand-hits-new-peak-in-chhattisgarh-as-mercury-marches-north-124040300878_1.html
- CEIC / CEA monthly peak-demand-met data (Dec-2025: 5,478 MW winter) — https://www.ceicdata.com/en/india/electricity-demand-and-supply/electricity-power-chattisgarh-peak-surplus-or-deficit-percentage