Verification·Ladakh·Retrieved 2026-05-30·IEA-1104

Ladakh — Data Verification vs CEA / SLDC / NR-LDC

Verdict · PARTIAL — all-time peak tile (50 MW) understates Ladakh's ~80 MW winter record by ~37.5% (systemic two-year-peak bug IEA-1198); installed capacity is not published on the page and CEA reports Ladakh only inside a combined "J&K and Ladakh" allocation block, so capacity is a basis gap (IEA-1199), not a confirmed miss.

Ladakh — Verification Report (May 2026)

Page verified: /states/ladakh · Retrieved: 2026-05-30. Tolerance: ±5% / ±2pp.

Peak demand — field-by-field

The page exposes four distinct demand fields; they must not be conflated:

Field Page value (retrieved 2026-05-30)
Current demand ("demand now") 50 MW (09:00 IST)
Today's peak ("latest daily peak") 50 MW ("2026-05-30")
Two-year peak 50.1 MW ("2026-05-29")
All-time peak 50 MW ("2026-05-29")

Headline peak comparison uses the page's all-time peak (50 MW) against Ladakh's authoritative record peak.

Anchor comparison

# Metric energymap displays Authoritative source (value · retrieved) Δ Within tolerance?
1 Peak demand (all-time, headline) 50 MW ("2026-05-29") ~80 MW winter record (summer ~35–45 MW); corroborated 75 MW · 101Reporters · ETV Bharat / PDD CE · 2026-05-30 −37.5% ❌
2 Two-year peak (tile) 50.1 MW ("2026-05-29") Same ~80 MW winter binding peak (heating-driven) · 2026-05-30 −37.4% ❌ (systemic IEA-1198)
3 Installed capacity (physical, in-state) Not published — page shows "updating our servers" for substation/capacity intelligence NHPC Nimoo-Basgo 45 MW (Leh) + Chutak 44 MW (Kargil) ≈ 89 MW hydro, plus ~55 PDD diesel sets + off-grid solar · 101Reporters · 2026-05-30 n/a ⚠️ unverified (page blank)
4 Installed capacity (CEA allocated) n/a (page blank) CEA Aug-2025 allocation-wise: no Ladakh-only row — reported as combined "Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh", Sub-Total GrandTotal 3468.44 MW · CEA · 2026-05-30 n/a ⚠️ basis (IEA-1199)
5 Capacity by fuel Hydro 93.2% / Solar 6.8% (instantaneous mix, not nameplate) CEA allocation-wise: combined J&K+Ladakh block only, no Ladakh split — ⚠️ unverified
6 AT&C losses Unavailable (page marks not-published) PFC — no Ladakh-only series retrieved — ⚠️ unverified
7 RPO compliance Unavailable (no targets/figures shown) Regulator (JERC for UTs) — not retrieved — ⚠️ unverified
8 Residential tariff ₹1.50/kWh (lowest slab) JERC / LPDD tariff order — not independently retrieved — ⚠️ unverified
9 Interchange / import cap Not separately shown Northern-Grid import capped at 80 MW by Ministry of Power; current winter import ~60 MW · 101Reporters · ETV Bharat · 2026-05-30 — ⚠️ unverified

Findings

  • Peak demand understated (>tolerance, systemic). The page's all-time peak (50 MW) and two-year peak tile (50.1 MW) both reflect summer-season modeled load and miss Ladakh's binding winter peak of ~75–80 MW (heating-driven; the Northern-Grid import allocation is itself capped at 80 MW). Headline Δ ≈ −37.5% (50 vs 80 MW), well outside ±5%. This is the known two-year-peak understatement pattern — maps to [IEA-1198]; no new fix-ticket proposed. The page itself flags that Ladakh has no continuous SLDC feed and uses modeled/monthly-synthesized demand, which is why the winter spike is invisible.

  • Installed capacity is NOT displayed on the page (first-pass artifact corrected). The earlier draft asserted the page shows "146.81 MW (3 plants)". On re-fetch (2026-05-30) the substation/installed-capacity intelligence panel returns "We're updating our servers… This data will be populated shortly" — i.e. no capacity figure is rendered. The prior 146.81 MW value could not be reproduced from the live page and is treated as a first-pass artifact; the metric is marked unverified (page blank), not a confirmed value or a confirmed miss.

  • CEA reports Ladakh only inside a combined "J&K and Ladakh" block — basis gap, not error. The Aug-2025 allocation-wise PDF (/tmp/cea_ic.txt, lines 105–110) names the entity across three lines ("Jammu & Kashmir / and / Ladakh") with a Sub-Total GrandTotal of 3468.44 MW (706.22 MW thermal/gas + 95.13 MW nuclear share + 2667.09 MW hydro+RES), dominated by J&K central hydro. There is no Ladakh-only allocated row to compare against. The physical-vs-allocated basis issue (IEA-1199) applies in aggregate form: even if the page published an in-state physical figure (~89 MW NHPC hydro + diesel + solar), it would not be comparable to the combined J&K+Ladakh allocation. This is explicitly not a tolerance failure.

  • Other anchors unverifiable. AT&C losses and RPO are marked unavailable on the page; the ₹1.50/kWh residential tariff (lowest slab) is plausible but no JERC/LPDD order was independently retrieved. All honestly marked unverified rather than guessed.

Methodology

Live values read from the Ladakh page on 2026-05-30 (WebFetch). The page surfaces four distinct demand fields (current, today's peak, two-year peak, all-time peak), which were read separately; the headline peak verdict compares the all-time peak against the authoritative winter record. Authoritative peak/import figures quoted from 101Reporters and the ETV Bharat interview with the PDD Ladakh Chief Engineer, both retrieved 2026-05-30. CEA capacity confirmed Ladakh appears only inside a combined "Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh" Sub-Total (3468.44 MW) in the Aug-2025 allocation-wise report — a physical-vs-allocated basis gap (IEA-1199), not a data error. The page does not currently render an installed-capacity figure, so that anchor is unverified rather than failed. No value was interpolated; every unverifiable anchor is marked as such.


Part of the F40 per-state cross-verification programme (IEA-1070).

Sources

  • CEA All-India Installed Capacity (As on 31.08.2025), allocation-wise — https://cea.nic.in/wp-content/uploads/installed/2025/08/IC_Aug_2025allocation_wise-1.pdf
  • 101Reporters — Ladakh microgrids / hydro & demand — https://101reporters.com/article/environment/Ladakhs_microgrids_running_on_diesel_and_dwindling_hydropower_need_solar_safety_net
  • ETV Bharat — Interview with PDD Ladakh Chief Engineer Tsewang Paljor — https://www.etvbharat.com/en/!state/exclusive-interview-with-chief-engineer-pdd-ladakh-enn24122801268
  • Ladakh Power Development Department (LPDD) — https://lpdd.ladakh.gov.in/dev1.php