Verification·Odisha·Retrieved 2026-05-30·IEA-1083

Odisha — Data Verification vs CEA / SLDC / ER-LDC

Verdict · FAIL — all-time-peak tile (8,482 MW) overstates Odisha's authoritative state record (6,739 MW) by +25.9% (same-basis error). Two-year-peak tile understated −20.7% (systemic, IEA-1198). Installed-capacity gap (+46.9%) is the physical-in-state vs CEA-allocated BASIS difference (IEA-1199), not a data error.

Odisha — Verification Report (May 2026)

Page verified: /states/odisha · Retrieved: 2026-05-30. Tolerance: ±5% / ±2pp.

Anchor comparison

# Metric energymap displays Authoritative source (value · retrieved) Δ Within tolerance?
1 All-time state peak (HEADLINE) 8,482 MW ("2026-05-22", labeled POSOCO) 6,739 MW statewide record (May-2026 heatwave) · odishabytes · 2026-05-30 +25.9% ❌ (same-basis overstatement)
1b Two-year peak tile 5,342 MW ("2026-05-29") 6,739 MW record (prior 6,447 MW) · same · 2026-05-30 −20.7% ❌ (systemic, IEA-1198)
1c Current demand / today's peak 4,844 MW / 5,342 MW (10:00 IST) live operational read — not a verifiable anchor — n/a (live)
2 Installed capacity — page basis (physical in-state) 13,208.7 MW n/a — page sums in-state plants — basis A
2b Installed capacity — CEA basis (allocated share) — 8,989.19 MW allocated GrandTotal · CEA Aug-2025 allocation-wise · cea.nic.in · 2026-05-30 page +46.9% vs CEA ✅ basis-explained (IEA-1199)
3 Capacity by fuel Coal 9,950 · Hydro 2,154.55 · RE 1,104.16 MW CEA Aug-2025 allocated: Thermal 5,902.87 · Hydro 2,179.23 · RES 907.09 MW — ✅ basis-explained (IEA-1199)
4 AT&C losses 23.5% (TPCODL, FY23) PFC State-of-Power report — not retrieved this session — ⚠️ unverified
5 RPO compliance 12.8% (FY23, modeled) OERC RPO regulations — not retrieved this session — ⚠️ unverified
6 Residential tariff ₹0.00/kWh (0–30 kWh slab, ₹70 fixed/mo) OERC FY25-26 retail tariff order — not retrieved this session — ⚠️ unverified (likely lifeline-slab artifact)
7 Interchange / RT demand Imports 2,478 MW (ER, projected) ER-LDC PSP / SLDC — not retrieved this session — ⚠️ unverified

Findings

  • HEADLINE — all-time-peak tile overstates the real record by +25.9% (genuine error). The page shows an "all-time state peak" of 8,482 MW ("2026-05-22", labeled POSOCO-sourced). Odisha's authoritative statewide record is 6,739 MW, set during the May-2026 heatwave (prior record 6,447 MW; the four Tata-led discoms — TPCODL/TPWODL/TPNODL/TPSODL — together cover the entire state, so 6,739 MW is whole-state, not a single-discom figure). 8,482 MW is ~26% above that record, which is not physically credible for Odisha's state peak demand on the same basis. This was re-fetched twice on 2026-05-30 and the page consistently displays 8,482 MW — it is a page artifact (likely a mislabeled aggregate/scheduled-drawal or regional figure carried into the "state peak" slot), not a retrieval misread and not a basis difference. Same-basis, beyond tolerance → FAIL.
  • Two-year-peak tile understated −20.7% (systemic). The tile shows 5,342 MW vs the 6,739 MW record. This is the known two-year-peak understatement pattern — maps to [IEA-1198]; no new fix-ticket proposed.
  • Installed capacity gap is a BASIS difference, not an error. Page total 13,208.7 MW counts capacity physically located in Odisha (sum of in-state plants). CEA's Aug-2025 allocation-wise table gives Odisha's allocated share: Thermal 5,902.87 · Hydro 2,179.23 · RES 907.09 · GrandTotal 8,989.19 MW (Odisha Sub-Total row, verified directly against the row labeled "Odisha" in the Eastern Region block). The +46.9% gap reflects Odisha's large export-oriented coal IPPs in the Talcher/Ib Valley belt — physically in-state but allocated to the central pool and other states — so displayed coal (9,950 MW) exceeds CEA's allocated thermal (5,902.87 MW). This is the physical-vs-allocated basis issue (IEA-1199), NOT a tolerance failure. Both bases are reported above; neither is "wrong."
  • AT&C losses, RPO compliance, ₹0.00/kWh tariff, and ER imports were read off the page but their regulator/operator sources were not independently retrieved this session — honestly marked unverified. The ₹0.00 first-slab tariff is most likely a lifeline/subsidised-slab artifact (₹70 fixed/month still applies), not a true zero rate.

Methodology

Live values read from the Odisha page on 2026-05-30 (re-fetched for the peak tiles to rule out misreads); authoritative values quoted with source URL + retrieval date 2026-05-30. CEA capacity taken from the Aug-2025 allocation-wise PDF (pdftotext -layout), with the Odisha Sub-Total row confirmed by position inside the Eastern Region block (Thermal 5,902.87 · Hydro 2,179.23 · RES 907.09 · GrandTotal 8,989.19 MW). Capacity reported on both bases (physical in-state vs CEA-allocated) per IEA-1199. No value interpolated; unretrievable anchors marked unverified rather than guessed.


Part of the F40 per-state cross-verification programme (IEA-1070).

Sources

  • OdishaBytes (statewide peak record, May-2026 heatwave) — https://odishabytes.com/odisha-heatwave-power-demand-surges-to-record-6739-mw-tata-discoms-on-full-emergency-mode/
  • CEA Installed Capacity Report, Aug-2025 (allocation-wise PDF) — https://cea.nic.in/wp-content/uploads/installed/2025/08/IC_Aug_2025allocation_wise-1.pdf
  • Odisha SLDC — https://sldcorissa.org.in/
  • OERC (Odisha Electricity Regulatory Commission) — https://www.orierc.org/