Odisha — Data Verification vs CEA / SLDC / ER-LDC
Verdict · FAIL — all-time-peak tile (8,482 MW) overstates Odisha's authoritative state record (6,739 MW) by +25.9% (same-basis error). Two-year-peak tile understated −20.7% (systemic, IEA-1198). Installed-capacity gap (+46.9%) is the physical-in-state vs CEA-allocated BASIS difference (IEA-1199), not a data error.
Odisha — Verification Report (May 2026)
Page verified: /states/odisha · Retrieved: 2026-05-30. Tolerance: ±5% / ±2pp.
Anchor comparison
| # | Metric | energymap displays | Authoritative source (value · retrieved) | Δ | Within tolerance? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | All-time state peak (HEADLINE) | 8,482 MW ("2026-05-22", labeled POSOCO) | 6,739 MW statewide record (May-2026 heatwave) · odishabytes · 2026-05-30 | +25.9% | ❌ (same-basis overstatement) |
| 1b | Two-year peak tile | 5,342 MW ("2026-05-29") | 6,739 MW record (prior 6,447 MW) · same · 2026-05-30 | −20.7% | ❌ (systemic, IEA-1198) |
| 1c | Current demand / today's peak | 4,844 MW / 5,342 MW (10:00 IST) | live operational read — not a verifiable anchor | — | n/a (live) |
| 2 | Installed capacity — page basis (physical in-state) | 13,208.7 MW | n/a — page sums in-state plants | — | basis A |
| 2b | Installed capacity — CEA basis (allocated share) | — | 8,989.19 MW allocated GrandTotal · CEA Aug-2025 allocation-wise · cea.nic.in · 2026-05-30 | page +46.9% vs CEA | ✅ basis-explained (IEA-1199) |
| 3 | Capacity by fuel | Coal 9,950 · Hydro 2,154.55 · RE 1,104.16 MW | CEA Aug-2025 allocated: Thermal 5,902.87 · Hydro 2,179.23 · RES 907.09 MW | — | ✅ basis-explained (IEA-1199) |
| 4 | AT&C losses | 23.5% (TPCODL, FY23) | PFC State-of-Power report — not retrieved this session | — | ⚠️ unverified |
| 5 | RPO compliance | 12.8% (FY23, modeled) | OERC RPO regulations — not retrieved this session | — | ⚠️ unverified |
| 6 | Residential tariff | ₹0.00/kWh (0–30 kWh slab, ₹70 fixed/mo) | OERC FY25-26 retail tariff order — not retrieved this session | — | ⚠️ unverified (likely lifeline-slab artifact) |
| 7 | Interchange / RT demand | Imports 2,478 MW (ER, projected) | ER-LDC PSP / SLDC — not retrieved this session | — | ⚠️ unverified |
Findings
- HEADLINE — all-time-peak tile overstates the real record by +25.9% (genuine error). The page shows an "all-time state peak" of 8,482 MW ("2026-05-22", labeled POSOCO-sourced). Odisha's authoritative statewide record is 6,739 MW, set during the May-2026 heatwave (prior record 6,447 MW; the four Tata-led discoms — TPCODL/TPWODL/TPNODL/TPSODL — together cover the entire state, so 6,739 MW is whole-state, not a single-discom figure). 8,482 MW is ~26% above that record, which is not physically credible for Odisha's state peak demand on the same basis. This was re-fetched twice on 2026-05-30 and the page consistently displays 8,482 MW — it is a page artifact (likely a mislabeled aggregate/scheduled-drawal or regional figure carried into the "state peak" slot), not a retrieval misread and not a basis difference. Same-basis, beyond tolerance → FAIL.
- Two-year-peak tile understated −20.7% (systemic). The tile shows 5,342 MW vs the 6,739 MW record. This is the known two-year-peak understatement pattern — maps to [IEA-1198]; no new fix-ticket proposed.
- Installed capacity gap is a BASIS difference, not an error. Page total 13,208.7 MW counts capacity physically located in Odisha (sum of in-state plants). CEA's Aug-2025 allocation-wise table gives Odisha's allocated share: Thermal 5,902.87 · Hydro 2,179.23 · RES 907.09 · GrandTotal 8,989.19 MW (Odisha Sub-Total row, verified directly against the row labeled "Odisha" in the Eastern Region block). The +46.9% gap reflects Odisha's large export-oriented coal IPPs in the Talcher/Ib Valley belt — physically in-state but allocated to the central pool and other states — so displayed coal (9,950 MW) exceeds CEA's allocated thermal (5,902.87 MW). This is the physical-vs-allocated basis issue (IEA-1199), NOT a tolerance failure. Both bases are reported above; neither is "wrong."
- AT&C losses, RPO compliance, ₹0.00/kWh tariff, and ER imports were read off the page but their regulator/operator sources were not independently retrieved this session — honestly marked unverified. The ₹0.00 first-slab tariff is most likely a lifeline/subsidised-slab artifact (₹70 fixed/month still applies), not a true zero rate.
Methodology
Live values read from the Odisha page on 2026-05-30 (re-fetched for the peak tiles to rule out misreads); authoritative values quoted with source URL + retrieval date 2026-05-30. CEA capacity taken from the Aug-2025 allocation-wise PDF (pdftotext -layout), with the Odisha Sub-Total row confirmed by position inside the Eastern Region block (Thermal 5,902.87 · Hydro 2,179.23 · RES 907.09 · GrandTotal 8,989.19 MW). Capacity reported on both bases (physical in-state vs CEA-allocated) per IEA-1199. No value interpolated; unretrievable anchors marked unverified rather than guessed.
Part of the F40 per-state cross-verification programme (IEA-1070).
Sources
- OdishaBytes (statewide peak record, May-2026 heatwave) — https://odishabytes.com/odisha-heatwave-power-demand-surges-to-record-6739-mw-tata-discoms-on-full-emergency-mode/
- CEA Installed Capacity Report, Aug-2025 (allocation-wise PDF) — https://cea.nic.in/wp-content/uploads/installed/2025/08/IC_Aug_2025allocation_wise-1.pdf
- Odisha SLDC — https://sldcorissa.org.in/
- OERC (Odisha Electricity Regulatory Commission) — https://www.orierc.org/