Gujarat - Verification Report (May 2026)

Page verified: /states/gujarat - Retrieved: 2026-05-30. Tolerance: +/-5% / +/-2pp.

Peak-demand fields (the page shows four distinct values)

The Gujarat page surfaces four separate demand numbers; the first-pass draft conflated them. Read precisely on 2026-05-30:

Field	Page value	Label on page
Current / live demand	18,556 MW	"2026-05-30T06:00 IST"
Today's peak	25,398 MW	"11:00 IST"
Two-year peak (tile)	25,397.7 MW	"2026-05-29"
All-time peak (tile, POSOCO)	26,622 MW	"2026-05-23"

Anchor comparison

#	Metric	energymap displays	Authoritative source (value - retrieved)	Delta	Within tolerance?
1	Peak demand (HEADLINE: all-time tile vs record)	26,622 MW ("2026-05-23")	~26,472 MW all-time record set 28 Apr 2025 (June-2025 print ~26,457 MW) - DeshGujarat / CEIC - 2026-05-30	+0.6%	YES
1b	Peak demand (two-year tile)	25,397.7 MW ("2026-05-29")	~26,472 MW state record - DeshGujarat - 2026-05-30	-4.1%	YES (low; understates - see IEA-1198)
2	Installed capacity (total)	73,627.9 MW (physical, in-state)	Physical: ~71 GW in-state (Wikipedia/MNRE, Mar 2026); CEA-allocated: 63,429.08 MW (Aug 2025) - CEA - 2026-05-30	basis diff	YES (basis-explained; IEA-1199)
3	Capacity by fuel	RES/Renewable 47,125.6; Coal 14,692; Gas 6,580.3; Hydro 1,990; Nuclear 1,840; Lignite 1,400 MW (physical in-state)	CEA Gujarat Sub-Total (allocated): Coal 17,228.77; Lignite 1,400; Gas 5,615.72; Nuclear 864.04; Hydro 1,034.89; RES*(MNRE) 37,285.66; RE-Total 38,149.70; GrandTotal 63,429.08 - 2026-05-30	basis diff	YES (basis-explained; IEA-1199)
4	AT&C losses	DGVCL 6.4% / UGVCL 12.1% (FY23)	PFC Integrated Rating not retrieved this pass - PFC	-	UNVERIFIED
5	RPO compliance	20.8% (FY23, modeled)	GERC RPO order not retrieved	-	UNVERIFIED
6	Residential tariff	Rs 3.05-5.20/kWh (slab) + fixed (GERC)	GERC tariff order not retrieved	-	UNVERIFIED
7	Interchange / RT demand	not surfaced	WR-LDC PSP / SLDC not retrieved	-	UNVERIFIED

Findings

• Headline peak reconciles (+0.6%). The page's all-time tile reads 26,622 MW ("2026-05-23") against an authoritative state record of ~26,472 MW (set 28 Apr 2025; the June-2025 print was ~26,457 MW). The +0.6% delta is well inside +/-5% and plausibly reflects a genuine fresh May-2026 record marginally above the 2025 high. The first-pass draft mislabeled the two-year tile as the headline peak; corrected here.
• Two-year-peak tile understates (-4.1%). The two-year tile (25,397.7 MW, "2026-05-29") sits ~4% below the state record - inside tolerance but on the low side, consistent with the systemic two-year-peak understatement tracked under IEA-1198 (no new ticket).
• Installed capacity is a BASIS difference, not an error (IEA-1199). The page's 73,627.9 MW is physical capacity located in Gujarat (sum of in-state plants). CEA's allocation-wise table reports Gujarat's allocated share of 63,429.08 MW (Sub-Total row, GrandTotal column, Aug 2025) - a different basis. Gujarat is a renewable powerhouse: in-state RE alone was ~42.58 GW at Dec-2025 (No. 1 nationally) and total in-state capacity ~71 GW at Mar-2026 per MNRE/Wikipedia, so 73.6 GW physical by May-2026 is fully consistent. The first-pass draft wrongly flagged this as a "+16.1% fresh data error / pipeline fix"; that is withdrawn - it is the expected physical-vs-allocated gap (IEA-1199), within the methodology, NOT a tolerance failure.
• Per-fuel deltas are the same basis story. The page's renewable bucket (47,125.6 MW physical in-state) exceeds CEA's allocated RE-Total (38,149.70 MW) because most in-state private RE is contracted/allocated outside Gujarat yet physically located there. Nuclear (page 1,840 MW physical, sited at Kakrapar/Tarapur-linked units) vs CEA-allocated 864.04 MW to Gujarat is the same allocation effect. No double-count or staleness needed to explain these.
• Anchors 4-7 unverified. AT&C losses, RPO compliance, residential tariff, and RT interchange were not cross-referenced against PFC / GERC / WR-LDC primary sources this pass. Honestly marked unverified rather than guessed (hard no-fabrication rule).

Methodology

Four demand fields read distinctly from the Gujarat page on 2026-05-30 (current, today's peak, two-year tile, all-time tile). Authoritative state peak taken from DeshGujarat reporting of the GETCO/SLDC record and CEIC's Western-Region Gujarat series. Installed capacity reported on both bases: page (physical in-state) and CEA Aug-2025 allocation-wise (Gujarat Sub-Total row, GrandTotal = 63,429.08 MW, verified to belong to the Gujarat block, not a misaligned neighbour). Physical-vs-allocated capacity gap attributed to IEA-1199; two-year-peak understatement to IEA-1198. No value interpolated; unverifiable anchors flagged.

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Part of the F40 per-state cross-verification programme (IEA-1070).