Key Metrics Table
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Forecast
Loading 90-day MAPE history for Arunachal Pradesh
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Arunachal Pradesh · generation mix · back to 2020
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State at a glance
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Arunachal Pradesh is drawing 118 MW as of 2026-08-18T20:00:00+00:00 IST, sourced from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
Renewables (solar, wind, hydro, nuclear) account for 99.3% of in-state generation in Arunachal Pradesh as of 2026-08-18T20:00:00+00:00 IST.
Arunachal Pradesh's current grid carbon intensity is 36 gCO2/kWh as of 2026-08-18T20:00:00+00:00 IST, computed from the metered fuel mix using CEA v18 lifecycle emission factors.
Today's peak demand in Arunachal Pradesh fell at 00:30 IST. Long-run peaks land in the evening (7-9 pm IST) on the residential lighting load.
Distribution in Arunachal Pradesh is handled by one or more state-licensed DISCOMs; see the DISCOM card on the state page for the live roster.
The day-ahead demand forecast for Arunachal Pradesh runs at single-digit MAPE; we publish the rolling 30-day MAPE on the State MAPE History card so readers can audit it themselves. Live demand comes from the SLDC scrape when available; non-SLDC states use the Atlas DISCOM disaggregation pipeline (Tier-A/B/C provenance, P10/P50/P90 bands).
Arunachal Pradesh is drawing 118 MW of electricity at the current hour (2026-08-19T03:00:00+05:30 IST), per the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest modeled in-state generation mix for Arunachal Pradesh is dominated by Hydro at 80.7%. Grid carbon intensity is 36 gCO2/kWh.
Hourly disaggregation for Arunachal Pradesh is awaiting the cross-project Atlas DISCOM Disaggregation tier-A endpoint; once it lands the live page will surface P10/P50/P90 bands without any FE change.
The day-ahead hourly demand forecast for Arunachal Pradesh publishes a ±1.5σ band over the next 24 hours — based on 30 similar days across 2 years; level-calibrated x0.93 vs canonical trailing 24h.
Composed at 2026-08-19T03:00:00+05:30
Latest peak
182 MW
2-yr peak
228 MW
Most recent: 2026-08-14
Weather sensitivity
Weather correlation data is not available for this state yet.
Slope
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R²
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Confidence
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Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
We do not show a modeled-vs-actual chart for Arunachal Pradesh because no live SLDC scrape; only modeled + monthly-synthesized data exists for this jurisdiction. Accuracy scoring requires an independent live actual.
no forecast-accuracy rows accumulated yet for this state; the nightly writer needs replayed (forecast, actual) pairs before scoring.
No live forecast-vs-actual rows are scored for Arunachal Pradesh.
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Policy & RE Transition
Renewable Purchase Obligation: MNRE target trajectory vs SERC-reported actual compliance.
Latest actual
Shortfall
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
We do not show a solar capture-rate for Arunachal Pradesh because no live SLDC scrape; only modeled + monthly-synthesized data exists for this jurisdiction. Accuracy scoring requires an independent live actual.
Reliability — POSOCO PSP
All-time state peak
2025-09-05
Days with shortage
Within window
Cumulative shortage
Energy not served
Worst single day
No shortage in window
Adequacy calendar
Energy shortage by day
Each square is one day. Color intensity = energy shortage (MU).
Loading 90-day adequacy strip
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
No congestion or severe events in this window.
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Arunachal Pradesh yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Schedule | Slab | Energy rate (₹/kWh) |
|---|---|---|
| DOM-HT-11KV | 0+ kWh | ₹3.80 |
| DOM-HT-33KV | 0+ kWh | ₹3.65 |
| DOM-KJP-BPL | 0+ kWh | ₹3.00 |
| DOM-LT-1P | 0+ kWh | ₹4.40 |
| DOM-LT-3P | 0+ kWh | ₹4.40 |
10-Year Tariff History
Residential · 2 orders
Published slab rates · no derived averages
DISCOM Health
Aggregate Technical & Commercial losses per distribution utility, with multi-year trend.
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.
Grid reliability
Each cell is a day's unmet peak demand (POSOCO). Green = fully met; redder = larger shortfall — occasional stress days stand out against the reliable run.
Peak demand fully met every day
SOURCE: Grid-India PSP (daily) · UPDATED 15 Aug
