Kerala State Electricity Board Limited
ImprovingAT&C losses, FY16 → FY23
9.4%
Latest
Kerala is drawing 7,569 MW of electricity at the current hour (2026-08-18T01:00:00+05:30 IST), per the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest modeled in-state generation mix for Kerala is dominated by Imports at 91.4%. Grid carbon intensity is 563 gCO2/kWh.
Demand for Kerala is sourced from a live SLDC scrape (metered, no disaggregation needed).
The day-ahead hourly demand forecast for Kerala publishes a ±1.5σ band over the next 24 hours — based on 30 similar days across 2 years; level-calibrated x2.00 vs canonical trailing 24h.
Composed at 2026-08-18T01:00:00+05:30
Latest peak
4,552 MW
2-yr peak
6,195 MW
Most recent: 2026-08-14
Weather sensitivity
Weather correlation data is not available for this state yet.
Slope
—
R²
—
Confidence
—
Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
Verified <5% on the leak-free IEA-1763 spike; the live-served forecast is currently above target (serving-side level/staleness artifact) pending the recommended calibration deploy.
| 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sun |
Policy & RE Transition
Renewable Purchase Obligation: MNRE target trajectory vs SERC-reported actual compliance.
Latest actual
FY23 · modelled
Shortfall
vs FY23 target
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
Capture-rate chart unavailable.
Grid cleanliness
Each cell is one hour's grid carbon intensity. Greener = cleaner, browner = more fossil — the green hours are when discretionary load is cheapest on emissions.
SOURCE: CEA carbon factors · UPDATED 01:30 IST
Reliability — POSOCO PSP
All-time state peak
2026-04-23
Days with shortage
Within window
Cumulative shortage
Energy not served
Worst single day
2026-07-16
Adequacy calendar
Energy shortage by day
Each square is one day. Color intensity = energy shortage (MU).
Loading 90-day adequacy strip
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
No congestion or severe events in this window.
Daily analytics cache
30D avg peak
2026-08-18
YoY peak shift
baseline window
Load factor
2 daily rows
Shortage days
34.7 MU
30D carbon avg
derived daily layer
Weather-load link
joined weather samples
Data centers
0 MW mapped
Fiber routes
107 route segments
Digital infra basis
State bounds route estimate
Seasonality
Monthly average daily peak load
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Kerala yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Schedule | Slab | Energy rate (₹/kWh) |
|---|---|---|
| LT-I-BPL | 0–40 kWh | ₹1.50 |
| LT-I-TEL-SP | 0–50 kWh | ₹3.35 |
| LT-I-NT-300-SP | 0–300 kWh | ₹6.75 |
| LT-I-NT-350-3P | 0–350 kWh | ₹7.60 |
| LT-I-NT-350-SP | 0–350 kWh | ₹7.60 |
| LT-I-NT-400-3P | 0–400 kWh | ₹7.95 |
| LT-I-NT-400-SP | 0–400 kWh | ₹7.95 |
| LT-I-NT-500-3P | 0–500 kWh | ₹8.25 |
13 additional slabs hidden.
10-Year Tariff History
Residential · 2 orders
Published slab rates · no derived averages
DISCOM Health
Aggregate Technical & Commercial losses per distribution utility, with multi-year trend.
Kerala State Electricity Board Limited
ImprovingAT&C losses, FY16 → FY23
9.4%
Latest
Aggregate Technical & Commercial losses per PFC's Annual Integrated Rating of State Power Distribution Utilities. Backfilled FY16 onwards where published. Latest published edition is the 13th Rating (FY22-23 data); forward-year cells marked is_modeled=true.
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.
Grid reliability
Each cell is a day's unmet peak demand (POSOCO). Green = fully met; redder = larger shortfall — occasional stress days stand out against the reliable run.
5 of 81 days had a shortfall · worst 514 MW
SOURCE: Grid-India PSP (daily) · UPDATED 14 Aug