Demand — actual & forecast
issued 3 Oct, 06:00 IST
Global modelPeak 2.1 GW · 15:00 IST
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Forecast
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Jammu and Kashmir · generation mix · back to 2020
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State at a glance
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News has moved to the News page
Every story tagged Jammu and Kashmir, with its sources and the figures it reports, lives on one page you can filter and search.
Read Jammu and Kashmir newsJammu and Kashmir is drawing 1,875 MW as of 2026-10-03T01:00:00+00:00 IST, sourced from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
Renewables (solar, wind, hydro, biomass) account for 100.0% of in-state generation in Jammu and Kashmir as of 2026-10-03T01:00:00+00:00 IST. Nuclear and imports are excluded.
Jammu and Kashmir's current grid carbon intensity is 24 gCO2/kWh as of 2026-10-03T01:00:00+00:00 IST, computed from the metered fuel mix using CEA v18 lifecycle emission factors.
Today's peak demand so far in Jammu and Kashmir occurred at 05:30 IST. The value remains provisional until the current IST day ends.
Distribution in Jammu and Kashmir is handled by one or more state-licensed DISCOMs; see the DISCOM card on the state page for the live roster.
The day-ahead demand forecast for Jammu and Kashmir runs at single-digit MAPE; we publish the rolling 30-day MAPE on the State MAPE History card so readers can audit it themselves. Live demand comes from the SLDC scrape when available; non-SLDC states use the Atlas DISCOM disaggregation pipeline (Tier-A/B/C provenance, P10/P50/P90 bands).
Jammu and Kashmir live electricity demand, fuel mix, and carbon intensity from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest modeled in-state generation mix for Jammu and Kashmir is dominated by Hydro at 100.0%. Grid carbon intensity is 24 gCO2/kWh.
Load shape
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Load distribution
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Weather sensitivity
Slope
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R²
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Confidence
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Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
We do not show a modeled-vs-actual chart for Jammu and Kashmir because no audited live SLDC interval served-load actual; the available source is modeled, a daily peak, dead/restricted, or otherwise outside the pinned L(s,t) estimand. Accuracy scoring requires an independent interval actual.
no forecast-accuracy rows accumulated yet for this state; the nightly writer needs replayed (forecast, actual) pairs before scoring.
Median gCO₂/kWh · day-of-week × hour-of-day (IST)
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Policy & RE Transition
Latest actual
Shortfall
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
We do not show a solar capture-rate for Jammu and Kashmir because no audited live SLDC interval served-load actual; the available source is modeled, a daily peak, dead/restricted, or otherwise outside the pinned L(s,t) estimand. Accuracy scoring requires an independent interval actual.
Grid cleanliness
Each cell is one hour's grid carbon intensity. Greener = cleaner, browner = more fossil — the green hours are when discretionary load is cheapest on emissions.
SOURCE: CEA carbon factors · UPDATED 07:30 IST
Generation mix
Each band is a fuel's share of generation each hour — watch the solar wedge swell midday and coal hold the baseload, independent of total load.
SOURCE: SLDC fuel mix · UPDATED 07:30 IST
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
Daily analytics cache
30D avg peak
2026-10-03
YoY peak shift
baseline window
Load factor
2 daily rows
Shortage days
0 MU
30D carbon avg
derived daily layer
Weather-load link
joined weather samples
Data centers
0 MW mapped
Fiber routes
149 route segments
Digital infra basis
State bounds route estimate
Seasonality
Monthly average daily peak load
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Jammu and Kashmir yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Slab | Energy rate (₹/unit) |
|---|---|
| 0–200 unit | ₹2.30 |
| 200–400 unit | ₹4.00 |
| 400+ unit | ₹4.35 |
DISCOM Health
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.