Demand — actual & forecast
issued 2 Oct, 23:00 IST
Global modelPeak 0.8 GW · 15:00 IST
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Forecast
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Goa · generation mix · back to 2020
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State at a glance
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News has moved to the News page
Every story tagged Goa, with its sources and the figures it reports, lives on one page you can filter and search.
Read Goa newsGoa is drawing 576 MW as of 2026-10-02T19:00:00+00:00 IST, sourced from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
Renewables (solar, wind, hydro, biomass) account for 1.0% of in-state generation in Goa as of 2026-10-02T19:00:00+00:00 IST. Nuclear and imports are excluded.
Goa's current grid carbon intensity is 844 gCO2/kWh as of 2026-10-02T19:00:00+00:00 IST, computed from the metered fuel mix using CEA v18 lifecycle emission factors.
Today's peak demand so far in Goa occurred at 00:30 IST. The value remains provisional until the current IST day ends.
Distribution in Goa is handled by one or more state-licensed DISCOMs; see the DISCOM card on the state page for the live roster.
The day-ahead demand forecast for Goa runs at single-digit MAPE; we publish the rolling 30-day MAPE on the State MAPE History card so readers can audit it themselves. Live demand comes from the SLDC scrape when available; non-SLDC states use the Atlas DISCOM disaggregation pipeline (Tier-A/B/C provenance, P10/P50/P90 bands).
Goa is drawing 576 MW of electricity at the current hour (2026-10-03T00:00:00+05:30 IST), per the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest estimated in-state generation mix for Goa is dominated by Coal at 88.7%. Grid carbon intensity is 844 gCO2/kWh.
Hourly disaggregation for Goa is awaiting the cross-project Atlas DISCOM Disaggregation tier-A endpoint; once it lands the live page will surface P10/P50/P90 bands without any FE change.
The day-ahead hourly demand forecast for Goa publishes a ±1.5σ band over the next 24 hours — per-state model v20 (holdout MAPE 5.0%); level-calibrated x1.25 vs canonical trailing 24h.
Composed at 2026-10-03T00:00:00+05:30
Load shape
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Load distribution
SOURCE: SLDC + modeled demand · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Weather sensitivity
Slope
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R²
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Confidence
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Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
We do not show a modeled-vs-actual chart for Goa because no audited live SLDC interval served-load actual; the available source is modeled, a daily peak, dead/restricted, or otherwise outside the pinned L(s,t) estimand. Accuracy scoring requires an independent interval actual.
no metered SLDC feed for this state; the 48h-forecast accuracy would be model-vs-modeled (self-referential), so it is not scored. Excluded from the verified-<5% set regardless of measured MAPE.
Median gCO₂/kWh · day-of-week × hour-of-day (IST)
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Policy & RE Transition
Latest actual
Shortfall
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
We do not show a solar capture-rate for Goa because no audited live SLDC interval served-load actual; the available source is modeled, a daily peak, dead/restricted, or otherwise outside the pinned L(s,t) estimand. Accuracy scoring requires an independent interval actual.
Grid cleanliness
Each cell is one hour's grid carbon intensity. Greener = cleaner, browner = more fossil — the green hours are when discretionary load is cheapest on emissions.
SOURCE: CEA carbon factors · UPDATED 00:30 IST
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
Daily analytics cache
30D avg peak
2026-10-02
YoY peak shift
30D vs prior year
Load factor
729 daily rows
Shortage days
11 MU
30D carbon avg
derived daily layer
Weather-load link
90 joined days
Data centers
0 MW mapped
Fiber routes
9 route segments
Digital infra basis
State bounds route estimate
Weather link
Temperature vs daily peak load
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Goa yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Schedule | Slab | Energy rate (₹/kWh) |
|---|---|---|
| LTDS-III | 0–100 kWh | ₹3.15 |
| LTDS-I-BPL | 0–100 kWh | ₹1.50 |
| LTDS-II | 0–100 kWh | ₹2.10 |
| LTDS-III | 100–200 kWh | ₹4.15 |
| LTDS-II | 100–200 kWh | ₹3.10 |
| LTDS-III | 200–300 kWh | ₹5.20 |
| LTDS-II | 200–300 kWh | ₹4.15 |
| LTDS-II | 300–400 kWh | ₹5.45 |
3 additional slabs hidden.
10-Year Tariff History
Published slab rates · no derived averages
DISCOM Health
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.