Key Metrics Table
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Forecast
Loading 48h forecast scorecard for Assam
Assam · generation mix · back to 2020
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State at a glance
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Assam is drawing 651 MW as of 2026-08-18T21:00:00+00:00 IST, sourced from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
Renewables (solar, wind, hydro, nuclear) account for 17.0% of in-state generation in Assam as of 2026-08-18T21:00:00+00:00 IST.
Assam's current grid carbon intensity is 743 gCO2/kWh as of 2026-08-18T21:00:00+00:00 IST, computed from the metered fuel mix using CEA v18 lifecycle emission factors.
Today's peak demand in Assam fell at 00:30 IST. Long-run peaks land in the evening (7-9 pm IST) on the residential lighting load.
Distribution in Assam is handled by one or more state-licensed DISCOMs; see the DISCOM card on the state page for the live roster.
The day-ahead demand forecast for Assam runs at single-digit MAPE; we publish the rolling 30-day MAPE on the State MAPE History card so readers can audit it themselves. Live demand comes from the SLDC scrape when available; non-SLDC states use the Atlas DISCOM disaggregation pipeline (Tier-A/B/C provenance, P10/P50/P90 bands).
Assam is drawing 651 MW of electricity at the current hour (2026-08-19T03:00:00+05:30 IST), per the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest modeled in-state generation mix for Assam is dominated by Coal at 54.5%. Grid carbon intensity is 743 gCO2/kWh.
Hourly disaggregation for Assam is awaiting the cross-project Atlas DISCOM Disaggregation tier-A endpoint; once it lands the live page will surface P10/P50/P90 bands without any FE change.
The day-ahead hourly demand forecast for Assam publishes a ±1.5σ band over the next 24 hours — based on 30 similar days across 2 years; level-calibrated x0.50 vs canonical trailing 24h.
Composed at 2026-08-19T03:00:00+05:30
Latest peak
2,903 MW
2-yr peak
2,948 MW
Most recent: 2026-08-14
Weather sensitivity
Weather correlation data is not available for this state yet.
Slope
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R²
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Confidence
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Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
We do not show a modeled-vs-actual chart for Assam because no live SLDC scrape; only modeled + monthly-synthesized data exists for this jurisdiction. Accuracy scoring requires an independent live actual.
no forecast-accuracy rows accumulated yet for this state; the nightly writer needs replayed (forecast, actual) pairs before scoring.
No live forecast-vs-actual rows are scored for Assam.
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Policy & RE Transition
Renewable Purchase Obligation: MNRE target trajectory vs SERC-reported actual compliance.
Latest actual
Shortfall
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
We do not show a solar capture-rate for Assam because no live SLDC scrape; only modeled + monthly-synthesized data exists for this jurisdiction. Accuracy scoring requires an independent live actual.
Grid cleanliness
Each cell is one hour's grid carbon intensity. Greener = cleaner, browner = more fossil — the green hours are when discretionary load is cheapest on emissions.
SOURCE: CEA carbon factors · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Reliability — POSOCO PSP
All-time state peak
2026-08-11
Days with shortage
Within window
Cumulative shortage
Energy not served
Worst single day
2026-06-26
Adequacy calendar
Energy shortage by day
Each square is one day. Color intensity = energy shortage (MU).
Loading 90-day adequacy strip
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
New all-time peak: 2948 MW (previous 2814 MW)
Grid-India PSP (daily) · POSOCO PSP daily
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Assam yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Schedule | Slab | Energy rate (₹/kWh) |
|---|---|---|
| LT-III-DOM-B | 0+ kWh | ₹7.74 |
| LT-II-DOM-A | 0–120 kWh | ₹5.99 |
| LT-I-JD | 0+ kWh | ₹5.34 |
| LT-II-DOM-A | 120–240 kWh | ₹7.29 |
| LT-II-DOM-A | 240–300 kWh | ₹8.19 |
| LT-II-DOM-A | 300–500 kWh | ₹8.19 |
| LT-II-DOM-A | 500+ kWh | ₹8.19 |
10-Year Tariff History
Residential · 2 orders
Published slab rates · no derived averages
DISCOM Health
Aggregate Technical & Commercial losses per distribution utility, with multi-year trend.
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.
INSIGHTS
ET Energy World· 8 h agoThe facility at Khoraghat will enable surplus gas from ONGC’s Jorhat asset to be processed and evacuated through the North East Gas Grid.
Syndicated from ET Energy World · Open original →
Mercom India· 8 d agoThe Assam Electricity Regulatory Commission (AERC) has directed Assam Power Distribution Company (APDCL) to continue processing all rooftop solar applications in accordance with the applicable regulations, the Assam Solar Generation Promotion Policy, 2025, and relevant program…
Syndicated from Mercom India · Open original →
Saur Energy International· 29 d agoKey responsibilities Policy analysis and development Analyse existing state policies and instruments, identify and prioritise reform gaps, and frame each as an actionable policy unit (objective, instrument, owner). Draft high-quality policy briefs, reform notes, strategy…
Syndicated from Saur Energy International · Open original →
Saur Energy International· 1 mo agoAssam Power Generation Corporation Ltd. (APGCL) and Oil India Ltd. (OIL) joint venture company, AOGPL OIL GREEN POWER LIMITED (AOGPL), has issued a tender for engaging a consultant to develop a 25 MW/100 MWh Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) at the Namrup Solar Project. An…
Syndicated from Saur Energy International · Open original →
Power Line Magazine· 1 mo agoSyndicated from Power Line Magazine · Open original →
Saur Energy International· 1 mo agoAssam's latest budget has allocated over Rs. 77,353 crore in planned investments across hydro, solar, thermal, and energy storage projects. The 2026-27 budget, introduced by Jayanta Mallabaruah, aims to finance the state's power sector programmes. These programmes will be…
Syndicated from Saur Energy International · Open original →
Saur Energy International· 1 mo agoIn six years, SJVN's claimed project portfolio swelled from 5,200 MW to nearly 60,000 MW, then shrank to 21,374 MW. The company has not had a full-time chairman for 29 months. The stock price has slumped from Rs 150 two years ago, to barely Rs 70 now. Is the government really…
Syndicated from Saur Energy International · Open original →
Saur Energy International· 1 mo agoThe Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) has allowed the Assam Power Distribution Company Ltd. (APDCL) to recover its Rs 214 crore Connectivity Bank Guarantee (Conn-BG2) submitted to the Central Transmission Utility of India Ltd. (CTUIL) after the cancellation of…
Syndicated from Saur Energy International · Open original →
Saur Energy International· 1 mo agoNearly half of India's prospective electric vehicle (EV) buyers do not have access to formal residential charging infrastructure, highlighting a major bottleneck in the country's transition to electric mobility, according to a report released jointly by EV charging platform…
Syndicated from Saur Energy International · Open original →
Saur Energy International· 1 mo agoA latest study by the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD), Scaling Rural Distributed Renewable Energy in India, has identified the absence of a utility-relevant planning framework as the missing "system layer" for Distributed Renewable Energy (DRE). The…
Syndicated from Saur Energy International · Open original →
Grid reliability
Each cell is a day's unmet peak demand (POSOCO). Green = fully met; redder = larger shortfall — occasional stress days stand out against the reliable run.
Peak demand fully met every day
SOURCE: Grid-India PSP (daily) · UPDATED 15 Aug
