Kerala State Electricity Board Limited
ImprovingAT&C losses, FY16 → FY23
9.4%
Latest
Key Metrics Table
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Forecast
Loading 48h forecast scorecard for Kerala
Kerala · generation mix · back to 2020
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State at a glance
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Loading residential cost curve for Kerala
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Kerala is drawing 4,294 MW as of 2026-08-18T14:00:00+00:00 IST, sourced from the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
Renewables (solar, wind, hydro, nuclear) account for 100.0% of in-state generation in Kerala as of 2026-08-18T14:00:00+00:00 IST.
Kerala's current grid carbon intensity is 560 gCO2/kWh as of 2026-08-18T14:00:00+00:00 IST, computed from the metered fuel mix using CEA v18 lifecycle emission factors.
Today's peak demand in Kerala fell at 7 am IST. Long-run peaks land in the evening (7-9 pm IST) on the residential lighting load.
Distribution in Kerala is handled by one or more state-licensed DISCOMs; see the DISCOM card on the state page for the live roster.
The day-ahead demand forecast for Kerala runs at single-digit MAPE; we publish the rolling 30-day MAPE on the State MAPE History card so readers can audit it themselves. Live demand comes from the SLDC scrape when available; non-SLDC states use the Atlas DISCOM disaggregation pipeline (Tier-A/B/C provenance, P10/P50/P90 bands).
Kerala is drawing 4,294 MW of electricity at the current hour (2026-08-19T03:00:00+05:30 IST), per the India Energy Atlas state-page-live snapshot.
The latest modeled in-state generation mix for Kerala is dominated by Hydro at 7.4%. Grid carbon intensity is 560 gCO2/kWh.
Demand for Kerala is sourced from a live SLDC scrape (metered, no disaggregation needed).
The day-ahead hourly demand forecast for Kerala publishes a ±1.5σ band over the next 24 hours — based on 30 similar days across 2 years; level-calibrated x2.00 vs canonical trailing 24h.
Composed at 2026-08-19T03:00:00+05:30
Latest peak
4,552 MW
2-yr peak
6,195 MW
Most recent: 2026-08-14
Weather sensitivity
Weather correlation data is not available for this state yet.
Slope
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R²
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Confidence
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Demand's sensitivity to temperature (MW per degree) is what turns a heatwave forecast into a load forecast. A high, tight slope means cooling load dominates and peaks are weather-driven and forecastable; a weak or noisy slope means the swing factor is something else — industrial shifts, agriculture, or a data gap worth questioning.
No forecast scorecard returned for Kerala.
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Policy & RE Transition
Renewable Purchase Obligation: MNRE target trajectory vs SERC-reported actual compliance.
Latest actual
FY23 · modelled
Shortfall
vs FY23 target
A Renewable Purchase Obligation is statutory, not aspirational: a state utility must source a set share of its energy from renewables or pay a penalty. A widening shortfall against the MNRE trajectory is an early signal of either a procurement gap or a banked-REC scramble at year-end — both move power and REC prices.
No solar capture-rate payload returned for Kerala.
Generation mix
Each band is a fuel's share of generation each hour — watch the solar wedge swell midday and coal hold the baseload, independent of total load.
SOURCE: SLDC fuel mix · UPDATED 04:30 IST
Reliability — POSOCO PSP
All-time state peak
2026-04-23
Days with shortage
Within window
Cumulative shortage
Energy not served
Worst single day
2026-07-16
Adequacy calendar
Energy shortage by day
Each square is one day. Color intensity = energy shortage (MU).
Loading 90-day adequacy strip
Coverage: frequency since 2025-09-19; congestion since 2026-05-22; demand records since 2018-01-01; news since 2026-05-22.
No congestion or severe events in this window.
An hourly residential cost curve isn't published for Kerala yet — it appears once the underlying tariff data is available.
Upstream: atlas-discom-disaggregation · /v1/discom-disaggregation/hourly-residential-demand
Residential Tariff
| Schedule | Slab | Energy rate (₹/kWh) |
|---|---|---|
| LT-I-BPL | 0–40 kWh | ₹1.50 |
| LT-I-TEL-SP | 0–50 kWh | ₹3.35 |
| LT-I-NT-300-SP | 0–300 kWh | ₹6.75 |
| LT-I-NT-350-3P | 0–350 kWh | ₹7.60 |
| LT-I-NT-350-SP | 0–350 kWh | ₹7.60 |
| LT-I-NT-400-3P | 0–400 kWh | ₹7.95 |
| LT-I-NT-400-SP | 0–400 kWh | ₹7.95 |
| LT-I-NT-500-3P | 0–500 kWh | ₹8.25 |
13 additional slabs hidden.
10-Year Tariff History
Residential · 2 orders
Published slab rates · no derived averages
DISCOM Health
Aggregate Technical & Commercial losses per distribution utility, with multi-year trend.
Kerala State Electricity Board Limited
ImprovingAT&C losses, FY16 → FY23
9.4%
Latest
Aggregate Technical & Commercial losses per PFC's Annual Integrated Rating of State Power Distribution Utilities. Backfilled FY16 onwards where published. Latest published edition is the 13th Rating (FY22-23 data); forward-year cells marked is_modeled=true.
AT&C (Aggregate Technical & Commercial) loss is the single clearest read on a distribution utility's solvency. Every percentage point is power delivered but never billed or collected; a worsening trend tells you a DISCOM is heading toward the payment delays that ripple back to gencos and IPPs.
Grid reliability
Each cell is a day's unmet peak demand (POSOCO). Green = fully met; redder = larger shortfall — occasional stress days stand out against the reliable run.
5 of 80 days had a shortfall · worst 514 MW
SOURCE: Grid-India PSP (daily) · UPDATED 14 Aug